Evan Longoria Had Been Better Than You Thought | The Process Report

Evan Longoria Had Been Better Than You Thought

I’m going to steal this idea from Colin Wyers, but since he is infinitely smarter than me, I will leave out the part about adjusting plate appearances to a league-average mark of at-bats and all that jazz—in other words, I won’t have an “extra hits” column here. Instead, I’m simply taking each player’s Total Average (TAv) and subtracting their batting average from it.

If a player has a positive number here, it means he has produced more than his batting average suggests through his ability to get on base and hit for power. A negative number, on the other hand, means the player’s batting average lies about just how good they have been. Simple enough, right?

Evan Longoria 0.222 0.33 0.411 0.285 0.063
Ben Zobrist 0.253 0.335 0.484 0.297 0.044
Sean Rodriguez 0.235 0.33 0.439 0.277 0.042
B.J. Upton 0.243 0.323 0.422 0.276 0.033
Kelly Shoppach 0.162 0.241 0.243 0.189 0.027
Sam Fuld 0.227 0.277 0.354 0.249 0.022
Matt Joyce 0.374 0.434 0.639 0.386 0.012
Elliot Johnson 0.258 0.306 0.409 0.27 0.012
John Jaso 0.218 0.282 0.347 0.227 0.009
Johnny Damon 0.271 0.312 0.431 0.279 0.008
Felipe Lopez 0.213 0.253 0.333 0.212 -0.001
Reid Brignac 0.17 0.21 0.18 0.153 -0.017
Casey Kotchman 0.359 0.415 0.479 0.331 -0.028

As you might have guessed, these numbers are from last night and Evan Longoria no longer batting .222, but even when he was, his offensive performance significantly outweighed it. Ben Zobrist and Sean Rodriguez too, as well as B.J. Upton and to lesser degrees Kelly Shoppach and Matt Joyce—yeah, the guy with a .374 batting average is actually being misrepresented in a bad way. (No wonder Joyce has been one of the two or three best position players in baseball this season, as he ranks third in WARP and fifth in fWAR.)

If only Jose Bautista did not exist, then I would get on the Matt Joyce for MVP bandwagon with a clean conscience.

Leave a Reply

#layout { padding-left:20px; }