Game 35 Lineups and Outlook | The Process Report

Game 35 Lineups and Outlook

The Rays played arguably their most complete game of the season last night. They got a complete game shutout from Bulldog Matt Andriese. We hit a homer, but not too many homers, which is apparently bad. The larger point is that we found ways to get guys in that didn’t revolved solely around the homer. We played great defense. We ran the bases like shit. Lots to love. For one night the Rays got to face one of the worst pitchers in the game and they capitalized, but now we must move on. Today’s opposition will bring a bit more to the table than Kendall Graveman was able to muster:

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The system really like Gray, as it should. He has been one of the best pitchers in the game for the entirety of his career, but he is starting to show some signs of slippage. He is walking more than he has ever walked in conjunction with striking out fewer than every while allowing more fly balls to leave the yard. Gray has always out-pitched his peripherals, but now both ERA and FIP are in the tank. He must be very excited that he gets to turn it all around against those feeble Rays.

On our side we’ve got Matty Moore looking to build on an ok, but short start last time out. I bet the short leash continues for Moore until he shows that he can be more efficient early, which should enable to him to pitch deeper into games. Today that won’t quite be necessary thanks to the complete game from the Bulldog last night, though the team will obviously take what they can get with a long road trip starting tomorrow. Danny Valencia looks like one guy that Moore will need to pitch with care, but you can probably put Davis, Butler and Semien in there with the first and the last being very real threats to go yard.

So the system likes the A’s a little better than Vegas does, and while it is set up to more heavily weight more recent performance, it will always struggle to compare a handful of starts to a stellar career. I’d tread carefully out in the wagerlands today, but I also wouldn’t be surprised if we see a vintage Sonny Gray performance.

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