Tampa Bay Rays Interested in Jeremy Accardo | The Process Report

Tampa Bay Rays Interested in Jeremy Accardo

Morosi again (he’s on a roll):

#Rays and #WhiteSox are showing interest in Accardo. Intriguing buy-low for pen. #BlueJays

A quick look at Accardo’s stats over the last few seasons leaves much to be desired. For instance, his xFIP from 2008 to 2010 are 5.53, 5.50, and 5.21. Consistent poorness like that is unworthy of roster spot consideration. Luckily for Accardo, those numbers come as a result of a combined 43 innings pitched. In his three seasons prior to 2008, Accardo posted xFIP of 4.61, 3.9, and 3.88 in nearly 170 innings.

Relievers with such value don’t usually fall off rosters without reason. Accardo’s reason is poor health. He’s dealt with forearm and groin issues since and wound up in Triple-A over the last two seasons trying to work his way back. His combined statistics from those separate stints include 74 innings, 53 strikeouts, 23 walks, and two home runs allowed. Here are those numbers (in per nine form) compared to the rates of his first three seasons:

2009-2010 Triple-A: 6.4 SO/9, 2.8 BB/9, 0.2 HR/9
2005-2007 MLB: 6.9 SO/9, 2.9 BB/9, 0.7 HR/9

Those rates are unlikely to translate 100% of the way back to the majors, but the resemblance is startling. Unfortunately, there’s not a ton to go off in attempting to evaluate his stuff. In limited data, it appears his fastball is still around 93 and that he’s still throwing a cutter that sits around 90 and a split-fingered pitch around 82-83. His whiff rates in the bigs over those short stints, but his Triple-A whiff rates at around 8%.

The real appeal in Accardo could be his reverse splits. For his career, lefties have batted .205/.292/.279. The Rays already added one righty who seems to be a weapon versus southpaws in Cory Wade. Adding another, at the right cost (which shouldn’t be too high) seems plausible.

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