The Process Versus Blue Jays Pitchers | The Process Report

The Process Versus Blue Jays Pitchers

Update: Due to the Jays’ game being rained out on Tuesday, Jesse Litsch will pitch on Wednesday

Litsch, the former Rays’ bat boy, is a solid starter at the back end of the Toronto rotation. He throws a traditional fastball, cutter, slider, changeup, and will mix in a few curveballs. Similar pitches, his slider and cutter have been effective weapons for the right-hander. He shows no real platoon splits; however, lefties have given him problems with 10 home runs in his last 47.1 innings against LHB.

Ricky Romero

Romero has flown under the American League East radar since joining the division full-time in 2008. The lefty throws up to five pitches a night, led by a fastball in the low-90s. He has a good curveball and a really good changeup. Because both are thrown more
against right-handers – especially the changeup – we could see a little Danks Theory in motion against Romero.

Jo-Jo Reyes

Reyes is back in the majors after throwing just 30.1 big league innings in 2009 and 2010 combined. The former farmhand in the Atlanta Braves system throws left-handed and can reach the low-to-mid 90s with his fastball. He also throws a slider, changeup, and the
occasional curveball. Expect the usual lineup vs. left-handed pitching.

Bullpen/Analysis after the jump….

Pitcher Throws LHOPS RHOPS
Jon Rauch Right .738 .691
Jason Frasor Right .747 .563
Shawn Camp Right .826 .624
Marc Rzepczynski* Left .662 .796
Casey Janssen Right .779 .740
Octavio Dotel Right .924 .630
Frank Francisco* Right .642 .697
Carlos Villanueva Right .721 .788

(Three-year samples used when possible)

*Career numbers because of small sample size in recent years. These tables
all exclude 2011 stats

(Favors means the split is +/- .020 points)

Matchup favors LHB: Rauch, Frasor, Camp, Janssen, Dotel
Matchup favors RHB: Rzepczynski, Francisco, Villanueva
Matchup is a push:

(Credit to Chris St. John for the data)

With Romero on the mound, Reid Brignac might get a rare start against left-handed pitching. The same could be said for Matt Joyce – especially the way he has been hitting overall. Dan Johnson has been getting the bulk of the playing time at first base against lefties; however, Kotchman may be able to steal a start versus Romero. Against Reyes, I would expect a more traditional line-up against lefties meaning no Brignac and probably no Kotchman either.

The Jays bullpen has been a strength this season with Marc Rzepczynski, Shawn Camp, and Jason Frasor serving as nice setup men for Frank Francisco and Jon Rauch. Rzepczynski and Frasor have been particularly effective against lefties while Camp, Octavio Dotel and others have easily handled righties.

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