The Process Versus Blue Jays Pitchers | The Process Report

The Process Versus Blue Jays Pitchers

Back to American League East baseball…

Jo-Jo Reyes

Reyes is back in the majors after throwing just 30.1 big league innings in 2009 and 2010 combined. The former farmhand in the Atlanta Braves system throws left-handed and can reach the low-to-mid 90s with his fastball. He also throws a slider, changeup, and the occasional curveball. Expect the usual lineup vs. left-handed pitching.

Brandon Morrow

Morrow will make his 2011 debut after starting the season on the disabled list (elbow). The 26-year-old had a breakout season in 2010 even if his 4.49 ERA suggests otherwise. His fastball lives in the mid-90s and his slider is a legitimate wipeout pitch. He also throws a curveball and a changeup. Morrow was lights out against right-handed batters (using his plus slider) while battling with control issues versus lefties.

Ricky Romero

Romero has flown under the American League East radar since joining the division full-time in 2008.  The lefty throws up to five pitches a night, led by a fastball in the low-90s. He has a good curveball and a really good changeup.  Because both are thrown more against right-handers – especially the changeup – we could see a little Danks Theory in motion against Romero.

Bullpen after the jump….

Pitcher Throws LHOPS RHOPS
Jon Rauch Right .738 .691
Jason Frasor Right .747 .563
Shawn Camp Right .826 .624
Marc Rzepczynski* Left .662 .796
Casey Janssen Right .779 .740
Octavio Dotel Right .924 .630
Frank Francisco* Right .642 .697
Carlos Villanueva Right .721 .788


(Three-year samples used when possible)
*Career numbers because of small sample size in recent years. These tables all exclude 2011 stats

(Favors means the split is +/- .020 points)
Matchup favors LHB: Rauch, Frasor, Camp, Janssen, Dotel
Matchup favors RHB: Rzepczynski, Francisco, Villanueva
Matchup is a push:

(Credit to Chris St. John for the data)

The Rays left-handed bats should be in good shape against most of the high-leverage are relievers for the Blue Jays. Francisco is arguably their best reliever, and shows a reverse split, but he is fresh of the disabled list. Dotel is also easing his way back from injury. Historically, he has been crushed by lefties.

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