TPR11 Excerpt: Underpaid and Underrated: The Dan Johnson EP | The Process Report

TPR11 Excerpt: Underpaid and Underrated: The Dan Johnson EP

Tommy’s final offering from the book.

According to the research of Jason Hanselman of Dock of The Rays, Johnson’s expected BABIP (xBABIP) should have been right around the league average at .301. That equates to 13 extra hits and an expected slash line of .311/.432/.527. Even the biggest Johnson supporters would say that line is extremely optimistic, but keep in mind we’re talking about a small sample size of 40 games. The point is, even if Johnson’s 2011 BABIP is in the neighborhood of .250-.260, his batting average will improve and so will his already admirable on-base percentage.

As of now, the Rays have no natural right-handed platoon partner for Johnson. The team has the switch-hitting Ben Zobrist and right-handed Sean Rodriguez as options; however, their defensive abilities are better served at more difficult positions. The other option is using Johnson versus lefties even though he is left-handed himself.



Leave a Reply

#layout { padding-left:20px; }